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1.
medrxiv; 2023.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2023.11.27.23299044

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in Sudan on 13th March 2020. Here, we describe the genomic epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Sudan between May 2020 and April 2022 to understand the introduction and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variants in the country. A total of 667 SARS-CoV-2 positive samples were successfully sequenced using the nCoV-19 Artic protocol on the Oxford Nanopore Technology ([≥]70% genome completeness). The genomes were compared with a select contemporaneous global dataset to determine genetic relatedness and estimate import/export events. The genomes were classified into 37 Pango lineages within the ancestral strain (107 isolates across 13 Pango lineages), Eta variant of interest (VOI) (78 isolates in 1 lineage), Alpha variant of concern (VOC) (10 isolates in 2 lineages), Beta VOC (26 isolates in 1 lineage), Delta VOC (171 isolates across 8 lineages) and Omicron VOC (242 isolates across 12 lineages). We estimated a total of 144 introductions of the observed variants from different countries across the globe. Multiple introductions of the Eta VOI, Beta VOC and Omicron VOC were observed in Sudan mainly from Europe and Africa. These findings suggest a need for continuous genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 to monitor their introduction and spread consequently inform public health measures to combat SARS-CoV-2 transmission.

2.
medrxiv; 2023.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2023.07.03.23292158

ABSTRACT

We report a newly emerged SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineage, named FY.4, that has two unique mutations; spike:Y451H and ORF3a:P42L. FY.4 emergence has coincided with increased SARS-CoV-2 cases in coastal Kenya, April-May 2023. We demonstrate the value of continued SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in the post-acute pandemic era in understanding new COVID-19 outbreaks.


Subject(s)
COVID-19
3.
medrxiv; 2022.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2022.10.26.22281446

ABSTRACT

The emergence and establishment of SARS CoV 2 variants of concern presented a major global public health crisis across the world. There were six waves of SARS CoV 2 cases in Kenya that corresponded with the introduction and eventual dominance of the major SARS-COV-2 variants of concern, excepting the first 2 waves that were both wildtype virus. We estimate that more than 1000 SARS CoV 2 introductions occurred in the two-year epidemic period (March 2020 to September 2022) and a total of 930 introductions were associated with variants of concern namely Beta (n=78), Alpha(n=108), Delta(n=239) and Omicron (n=505). A total of 29 introductions were associated with A.23.1 variant that circulated in high frequencies in Uganda and Rwanda. The actual number of introductions is likely to be higher than these conservative estimates due to limited genomic sequencing. Our data suggested that cryptic transmission was usually underway prior to the first real-time identification of a new variant, and that multiple introductions were responsible. Following emergence of each VOC and subsequent introduction, transmission patterns were associated with hotspots of transmission in Coast, Nairobi and Western Kenya and follows established land and air transport corridors. Understanding the introduction and dispersal of major circulating variants and identifying the sources of new introductions is important to inform public health control strategies within Kenya and the larger East-African region. Border control and case finding reactive to new variants is unlikely to be a successful control strategy.

4.
medrxiv; 2022.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2022.03.18.22272503

ABSTRACT

By 31st December 2021, Seychelles, an archipelago of 115 islands in the Indian Ocean, had confirmed 24,788 cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The first SARS-CoV-2 cases in Seychelles were reported on 14th March 2020, but cases remained low until January 2021, when a surge of SARS-CoV-2 cases was observed on the islands. Here, we investigated the potential drivers of the surge by genomic analysis 1,056 SARS-CoV-2 positive samples collected in Seychelles between 14th March 2020 and 31st December 2021. The Seychelles genomes were classified into 32 Pango lineages, 1,042 of which fell within four variants of concern i.e., Alpha, Beta, Delta and Omicron. Sporadic of SARS-CoV-2 detected in Seychelles in 2020 were mainly of lineage B.1 (Europe origin) but this lineage was rapidly replaced by Beta variant starting January 2021, and which was also subsequently replaced by the Delta variant in May 2021 that dominated till November 2021 when Omicron cases were identified. Using ancestral state reconstruction approach, we estimated at least 78 independent SARS-CoV-2 introduction events into Seychelles during the study period. Majority of viral introductions into Seychelles occurred in 2021, despite substantial COVID-19 restrictions in place during this period. We conclude that the surge of SARS-CoV-2 cases in Seychelles in January 2021 was primarily due to introduction of the more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants into the islands.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
5.
medrxiv; 2021.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2021.03.12.21253493

ABSTRACT

BackgroundFew studies have assessed the seroprevalence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among Health Care Workers (HCWs) in Africa. We report findings from a survey among HCWs in three counties in Kenya. MethodsWe recruited 684 HCWs from Kilifi (rural), Busia (rural) and Nairobi (urban) counties. The serosurvey was conducted between 30th July 2020 and 4th December 2020. We tested for IgG antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein using ELISA. Assay sensitivity and specificity were 93% (95% CI 88-96%) and 99% (95% CI 98-99.5%), respectively. We adjusted prevalence estimates using Bayesian modeling to account for assay performance. ResultsCrude overall seroprevalence was 19.7% (135/684). After adjustment for assay performance seroprevalence was 20.8% (95% CI 17.5-24.4%). Seroprevalence varied significantly (p<0.001) by site: 43.8% (CI 35.8-52.2%) in Nairobi, 12.6% (CI 8.8-17.1%) in Busia and 11.5% (CI 7.2-17.6%) in Kilifi. In a multivariable model controlling for age, sex and site, professional cadre was not associated with differences in seroprevalence. ConclusionThese initial data demonstrate a high seroprevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 among HCWs in Kenya. There was significant variation in seroprevalence by region, but not by cadre.

6.
medrxiv; 2020.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2020.07.27.20162693

ABSTRACT

BackgroundThere are no data on SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Africa though the COVID-19 epidemic curve and reported mortality differ from patterns seen elsewhere. We estimated the anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence among blood donors in Kenya. MethodsWe measured anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike IgG prevalence by ELISA on residual blood donor samples obtained between April 30 and June 16, 2020. Assay sensitivity and specificity were 83% (95% CI 59-96%) and 99.0% (95% CI 98.1-99.5%), respectively. National seroprevalence was estimated using Bayesian multilevel regression and post-stratification to account for non-random sampling with respect to age, sex and region, adjusted for assay performance. ResultsComplete data were available for 3098 of 3174 donors, aged 15-64 years. By comparison with the Kenyan population, the sample over- represented males (82% versus 49%), adults aged 25-34 years (40% versus 27%) and residents of coastal Counties (49% versus 9%). Crude overall seroprevalence was 5.6% (174/3098). Population-weighted, test- adjusted national seroprevalence was 5.2% (95% CI 3.7- 7.1%). Seroprevalence was highest in the 3 largest urban Counties - Mombasa (9.3% [95% CI 6.4-13.2%)], Nairobi (8.5% [95% CI 4.9-13.5%]) and Kisumu (6.5% [95% CI 3.3-11.2%]). ConclusionsWe estimate that 1 in 20 adults in Kenya had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies during the study period. By the median date of our survey, only 2093 COVID-19 cases and 71 deaths had been reported through the national screening system. This contrasts, by several orders of magnitude, with the numbers of cases and deaths reported in parts of Europe and America when seroprevalence was similar.


Subject(s)
COVID-19
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